David Kelly

The Hockey Guru

David Kelly is a Toronto-born hockey analyst with multiple advanced degrees. His academic work includes five years of empirical NHL research, including home/visiting team performance and penalty/power play effects on Over/Unders. In the 2017-18 season, Kelly nailed 57 percent of his picks and $100 bettors who followed him profited $3,429. During the 2017 NHL playoffs, Kelly correctly predicted 39 out of 50 Over/Unders, a stunning win rate of 78 percent. He continues to pursue innovative models of in-depth statistical analysis of the NHL. For David Kelly media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL ATS PICKS | +300

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David's
Picks

San Jose -151 SJ -151

San Jose 3 @ Arizona 6
1/17
SJ 3 @ ARI 6
1/17
LOSS
YESTERDAY 12:23 AM

San Jose took apart Pittsburgh last night in a stirring game, totally vindicating the recent success of the Sharks in swimming upstream towards the division lead. Their last loss was a blowout 13-goal total game with Calgary (an 8-5 loss), since then they have reeled off seven straight and will make it eight straight against the pesky Coyotes tonight. I doubt that last night's game will have any effect on the outcome of tonight?s game and the Sharks hardly broke a sweat. Take the Sharks to win with confidence.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL ATS PICKS | +300

4-2 IN LAST 6 SJ ML PICKS | +240

12-9 IN LAST 21 ARI ML PICKS | +137

Tampa Bay -156 TB -156

Tampa Bay 2 @ Dallas 0
1/16
TB 2 @ DAL 0
1/16
WIN
Wed 1/16

Surprise, surprise as Gomer Pyle, USMC used to say?the Tampa Bay Lightning lost for only the second time since the end of November in regulation in a decisive 5-1 game against the New York Islanders, who by the way, are playing fast and loose hockey, and are currently in the last wild card spot in the East. Tampa is the top dog and after this loss certainly doesn?t want to meet the Islanders in the playoffs. So, all in all, that off night is okay?and won?t likely repeat itself again tonight. Dallas continues to be scoring challenged and now faces a potent offensive juggernaut. Take Tampa Bay to dispatch Dallas as a favorite on the road.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL ATS PICKS | +300

6-2 IN LAST 8 TB ML PICKS | +391

10-7 IN LAST 17 DAL ML PICKS | +41

UNDER 6.5 UNDER 6.5

Pittsburgh 2 @ San Jose 5
1/16
PIT 2 @ SJ 5
1/16
LOSS
Wed 1/16

This is perhaps the game of the year. Pittsburgh is streaking towards the divisional title, now only three points back of Washington at the top of the Atlantic Division, but in their latest 8-2 run they have lost VERY poorly played contests to Chicago and Los Angeles, both of whom are at the bottom of the NHL standings. That said, both the Penguins and San Jose have been filling the net up for better than a month on a consistent basis, and neither team has been shy about running up the score on their opponents. Knowing this is the key to this game: Both coaches know the only way to win here is not to engage in a shootout, but to clamp down on each other. I don?t know who will prevail here, I have no strong opinion, but whoever emerges will be because they held the opposition to a low shot count and therefore offering limited scoring chances. Take the Under 6.5 tonight in San Jose in the late contest.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL ATS PICKS | +300

5-0 IN LAST 5 PIT O/U PICKS | +500

Buffalo +105 BUF +105

Buffalo 2 @ Edmonton 7
1/15
BUF 2 @ EDM 7
1/15
LOSS
Tue 1/15

All season long, Buffalo has been competitive against better teams and has a 10-3 record against opponents it is supposed to beat. Edmonton is one of those teams. We are approaching crunch time, and the jockeying for playoff position begins in earnest. The Sabres deserve to be in that conversation, but must continue to win against inferior teams like Edmonton. This is a must-win for Buffalo. Take the Sabres on Monday.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL ATS PICKS | +300

12-7 IN LAST 19 BUF ML PICKS | +468

Carolina +108 CAR +108

Nashville 3 @ Carolina 6
1/13
NSH 3 @ CAR 6
1/13
WIN
Sun 1/13

Carolina has won 6 of its last 7 games yet still find themselves 5 points out of the Wild-Card playoff picture. Nashville is getting healthy once again and the presence of star Filip Forsberg has certainly helped the Preds overcome their weak offensive output. Nashville, more often than not, wins these types of games which pads its point totals. Expect a strong, fast and aggressive Carolina team to press throughout the game but the goalies for both teams are very good, which should keep the game both low scoring and competitive. Take the Hurricanes to make it 7 of 8 at home today- a hot team that is an underdog at home makes sense in this spot.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NHL ATS PICKS | +300

8-1 IN LAST 9 CAR ML PICKS | +688

21-11 IN LAST 32 NSH ML PICKS | +688

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