Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for 20 years. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. For insightful analysis, Nagel is unmatched. He prides himself on consistency. In the 2017 NFL season, Nagel nailed a SportsLine-best 63 percent of his picks. He has hit 55 percent of his NBA spread picks the past two seasons and, over the past two years, he's hitting 60 percent of his college football bowl picks. Nagel also has a documented 25-12 record on proposition-bet specials. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 14 NBA ATS PICKS
11-3 IN LAST 14 NBA ATS PICKS | +785
There's some thin value Tuesday behind the Cubs with high-priced starter Yu Darvish looking to get back on track against the surging Braves. Atlanta's current roster is hitting just .196 against Darvish, who returns from the 10-day disabled list. Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz is 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in two career games against the Cubs, and the Braves are 3-12 in his past 15 starts. Chicago is on a 4-1 run after allowing five or more runs in its previous game.
13-10 IN LAST 23 MLB PICKS | +404
Sean Manaea's no-hitter predictably inflated his market value, and those who saw this coming have cashed in of late. He has lost each of his past two starts while giving four earned runs in both outings. The victim of his no-hitter was Boston, which will look to exact revenge at home Monday. The Red So will attempt to do so behind Rick Porcello, who is 5-0 and has won seven straight decisions dating to last season. Porcello also is 4-0 with a 2.55 ERA in his past six starts against Oakland. This price is a value amid the circumstances.
At this point, sportsbooks are basically dangling the Rockets like a low-hanging fruit, and I'll go ahead and take the bait. Sure, the Warriors could flex their muscle in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals on Monday with a statement win. But the Rockets earned the home-court advantage and must exploit it to have a chance in this series. They won two of three in this series during the regular season, and their two wins at Utah showed they could be peaking at the right time. There's value on the short home favorite.
The Giants have won the last three games started by Ty Blach, and there's solid value on them Thursday to avoid a sweep against Philadelphia behind the lefty. Blach gave up one run on seven hits in his last start against Atlanta, and he has a 2.89 ERA over his past three outings. Phillies starter Vince Velasquez won his last outing, but has dropped his last two home starts while allowing 10 earned runs and failing to register five full innings.
Arizona starter Patrick Corbin is 4-0 and has some noted success against the Dodgers, allowing just one run in two starts against them with 17 strikeouts. But Los Angeles starter Alex Wood has a 3.09 career ERA and five wins against the Diamondbacks. These pitchers squared off last week in Arizona and both took no-decisions in an eventual 5-3 win by the Dodgers. The value Wednesday is on a Los Angeles team that needs to get back on track in its home stadium.
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