Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite

CBS Sports' deputy managing editor, Adam has been picking college football and NFL since 2002. Born and raised in Florida, he has been covering sports since 1996 when he began his own newsletter and has not stopped following the ins and outs of the games we love. Though he will take the occasional underdog, Adam often looks for value with the favorites, especially after sharp money comes in and lines fall below key numbers. In 2016 he cashed at a 62 percent rate and in 2017 he went 26-18 (59 percent) on NFL picks. Silverstein capped it off by riding the Eagles (+4.5) in Super Bowl 52. For Adam Silverstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

46-32-4 IN LAST 82 NFL ATS PICKS | +1047

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Adam's
Picks

Seattle -3.5 SEA -3.5

Seattle 23 @ San Francisco 26
12/16
SEA 23 @ SF 26
12/16
LOSS
YESTERDAY 8:18 PM

Thought this line might drop closer to kickoff, but alas, it has come down enough where we're still getting solid value with the Seahawks. I don't mind Doug Baldwin being out of action -- just as I did not last week -- because Seattle has been playing without him most of the season. There's enough playmaking talent, a strong enough running game, and a more-than-capable defense -- all of which should allow the Seahawks to hold onto a late lead and get a cover. Though Nick Mullens has been a nice surprise for San Francisco, let's not forget this was a 43-16 decision just 14 days ago. It will be closer, for sure, but Seattle should pull out a clean win here.

46-32-4 IN LAST 82 NFL ATS PICKS | +1047

Buffalo -2.5 BUF -2.5

Detroit 13 @ Buffalo 14
12/16
DET 13 @ BUF 14
12/16
LOSS
YESTERDAY 5:01 PM

The Lions have been a massive disappointment this season, so much so that I'm actually picking against them and taking the Bills in November. Injuries have ravaged Detroit of its playmaking talent, and Buffalo's solid defense should be able to take advantage of that. The team is clearly better with Josh Allen behind center, it's playing at home, and it's under 40 degrees around kickoff. These are games the Bills win historically and will again this week.

46-32-4 IN LAST 82 NFL ATS PICKS | +1047

Dallas +3 DAL +3

Dallas 0 @ Indianapolis 23
12/16
DAL 0 @ IND 23
12/16
LOSS
YESTERDAY 4:53 PM

If I'm taking a road team in a game like this, I'm doing so because I project them to win outright. The key in this one is defense and the running game, both of which favor the Cowboys. I'm not of the belief that Dallas is suddenly a great team because it picked up a couple nationally televised wins against decent teams, but there is no questioning the offensive improvement since Amari Cooper joined the roster. Andrew Luck could have himself a big day, and the Colts could still struggle to move it late. This one will be close in either direction, so give me the points and the better defense.

46-32-4 IN LAST 82 NFL ATS PICKS | +1047

Houston -7 HOU -7

Houston 29 @ N.Y. Jets 22
12/15
HOU 29 @ NYJ 22
12/15
PUSH
Sat 12/15

Last week's results -- Houston falling and New York beating Buffalo -- provided some early value in this line that I, unfortunately, missed. Seven is the right number as the Texans are clearly more talented in nearly every phase of the game. The Jets have covered consecutive games but were 0-5 ATS prior to that, whereas the Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven. Houston should wind up winning by double digits when all is said and done, but it may take until the third quarter for it to pull away.

46-32-4 IN LAST 82 NFL ATS PICKS | +1047

Kansas City -3.5 KC -3.5

L.A. Chargers 29 @ Kansas City 28
12/14
LAC 29 @ KC 28
12/14
LOSS
Thu 12/13

The Chargers have been great this season, but Los Angeles is travelling for a road game on a short week without its best player -- and his backup. The Chiefs' only losses this season are to two of the other three best teams in the league. For the most part, they have otherwise dominated competition. The Chargers, meanwhile, have beat up pretty bad competition even though they are 4-1 ATS on the road. I have Kansas City as a six-point favorite at home, giving us great value with this line. It may be another big night for Travis Kelce.

46-32-4 IN LAST 82 NFL ATS PICKS | +1047

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