Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite

CBS Sports' deputy managing editor, Adam has been picking college football and NFL since 2002. Born and raised in Florida, he has been covering sports since 1996 when he began his own newsletter and has not stopped following the ins and outs of the games we love. Though he will take the occasional underdog, Adam often looks for value with the favorites, especially after sharp money comes in and lines fall below key numbers. Since joining SportsLine in 2017, he's a strong 88-75 in the NFL. For Adam Silverstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

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Adam's
Picks

Cincinnati -122 CIN -122

Chi. Cubs 6 @ Cincinnati 0
6/29
CHC 6 @ CIN 0
6/29
LOSS
Sat 6/29

Jose Quintana gave up nine runs in 4.1 innings his last time out, he has a 6.75 ERA over his last six starts and in two games against these Reds, he's allowed nine runs on 18 hits over 10.1 innings. He goes up against Cincy ace Luis Castillo, who wasn't great his last time out, but he's still an ace. And in eight home starts, he sports a 2.01 ERA and .164 average allowed. It's a good price to back Castillo and hope the Reds' offense gives him enough support.

Florida +2.5 FLA +2.5

Florida 70 vs Nevada 61
3/21
FLA 70 vs NEVADA 61
3/21
WIN
Thu 3/21

I've been on the heel side of the Gators all year -- just look at my short pick history -- but Florida is playing its best basketball this season as of late and should be primed for a 10-7 upset. Nevada is on an awful ATS run, and Florida guard Jalen Hudson looks to have finally found himself after spending two-thirds of the season looking, well, awful. The Gators played their way into the field, but they are far more talented than they have played this season. Back Florida. and then consider doing so again vs. Michigan in the Round of 32.

4-0 IN LAST 4 FLA ATS PICKS | +400

LSU PK LSU PK

LSU 79 @ Florida 78
3/07
LSU 79 @ FLA 78
3/07
WIN
Wed 3/6

Regardless of the outcome of their previous meeting, LSU should be favored on the road in the O'Dome. This is a Florida team that -- despite its overtime victory on the road against the Bayou Bengals -- is unable to shoot 40 percent from the field in most of its games. It is 4-10 when that goes down. The Gators just blew a shot to lock up the NCAA Tournament against awful Georgia on Saturday and now has to go and beat the No. 10 team in the country? UF is 2-6 against top 10 teams under Mike White and 3-9 in Quadrant 1 games this season. Give me the Tigers to get some revenge at the pick 'em line.

4-0 IN LAST 4 FLA ATS PICKS | +400

L.A. Rams +2.5 LAR +2.5

New England 13 vs L.A. Rams 3
2/03
NE 13 vs LAR 3
2/03
LOSS
Sun 2/3

Whether you think the Rams should be in this game or not, you cannot deny the way they played the majority of the season. Yes, the defense took a step back from a year ago, but Los Angeles can play well when it counts -- and it is going to count in Super Bowl LIII. Even if the Rams are not able to take down Tom Brady, the Patriots' offensive line should struggle against constant pressure, forcing Brady to get rid of the ball quickly. The biggest advantage New England has in this game is Bill Belichick, and while I don't think Sean McVay is his match, he won't be intimidated into suddenly becoming vanilla offensively. The Rams are battle tested, and I love them with the full three points, which you should buy if provided the opportunity. Do I feel as good about Los Angeles as I did Philadelphia last year? No. But I'm probably also going to take the Rams straight up as I did the Eagles.

New Orleans -3 NO -3

L.A. Rams 26 @ New Orleans 23
1/20
LAR 26 @ NO 23
1/20
LOSS
Sun 1/20

Have I loved the way New Orleans' offense has played over the last couple of games? Not exactly. But I do love the way its defense has stepped up. Of the four remaining quarterbacks in the playoffs, Jared Goff is the most susceptible to being neutralized, and the Saints are strong enough up front to slow down Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson, even if just a bit. Meanwhile, they have such a variety of offensive weapons that Drew Brees should be able to spread the ball around even if Michael Thomas gets double coverage -- and he will. Expect plenty of touches for Alvin Kamara in this one. The Rams win if Goff is able to consistently move the ball and the Saints' offense does not improve one iota from recent weeks. I do not expect either of those things to happen. Add in the homefield advantage, and -3 is a perfect line for New Orleans.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NO ATS PICKS | +341

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