Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite

CBS Sports' deputy managing editor, Adam has been picking college football and NFL since 2002. Born and raised in Florida, he has been covering sports since 1996 when he began his own newsletter and has not stopped following the ins and outs of the games we love. Though he will take the occasional underdog, Adam often looks for value with the favorites, especially after sharp money comes in and lines fall below key numbers. In 2016 he cashed at a 62 percent rate and in 2017 he went 26-18 (59 percent) on NFL picks. Silverstein capped it off by riding the Eagles (+4.5) in Super Bowl 52. For Adam Silverstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

GET ACCESS TO

ALL PICKS FROM ADAM & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS

Adam's
Past Picks

LSU PK LSU PK

LSU 79 @ Florida 78
3/07
LSU 79 @ FLA 78
3/07
WIN
Wed 3/6

Regardless of the outcome of their previous meeting, LSU should be favored on the road in the O'Dome. This is a Florida team that -- despite its overtime victory on the road against the Bayou Bengals -- is unable to shoot 40 percent from the field in most of its games. It is 4-10 when that goes down. The Gators just blew a shot to lock up the NCAA Tournament against awful Georgia on Saturday and now has to go and beat the No. 10 team in the country? UF is 2-6 against top 10 teams under Mike White and 3-9 in Quadrant 1 games this season. Give me the Tigers to get some revenge at the pick 'em line.

3-0 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +300

L.A. Rams +2.5 LAR +2.5

New England 13 vs L.A. Rams 3
2/03
NE 13 vs LAR 3
2/03
LOSS
Sun 2/3

Whether you think the Rams should be in this game or not, you cannot deny the way they played the majority of the season. Yes, the defense took a step back from a year ago, but Los Angeles can play well when it counts -- and it is going to count in Super Bowl LIII. Even if the Rams are not able to take down Tom Brady, the Patriots' offensive line should struggle against constant pressure, forcing Brady to get rid of the ball quickly. The biggest advantage New England has in this game is Bill Belichick, and while I don't think Sean McVay is his match, he won't be intimidated into suddenly becoming vanilla offensively. The Rams are battle tested, and I love them with the full three points, which you should buy if provided the opportunity. Do I feel as good about Los Angeles as I did Philadelphia last year? No. But I'm probably also going to take the Rams straight up as I did the Eagles.

New Orleans -3 NO -3

L.A. Rams 26 @ New Orleans 23
1/20
LAR 26 @ NO 23
1/20
LOSS
Sun 1/20

Have I loved the way New Orleans' offense has played over the last couple of games? Not exactly. But I do love the way its defense has stepped up. Of the four remaining quarterbacks in the playoffs, Jared Goff is the most susceptible to being neutralized, and the Saints are strong enough up front to slow down Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson, even if just a bit. Meanwhile, they have such a variety of offensive weapons that Drew Brees should be able to spread the ball around even if Michael Thomas gets double coverage -- and he will. Expect plenty of touches for Alvin Kamara in this one. The Rams win if Goff is able to consistently move the ball and the Saints' offense does not improve one iota from recent weeks. I do not expect either of those things to happen. Add in the homefield advantage, and -3 is a perfect line for New Orleans.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NO ATS PICKS | +341

Kansas City -3 KC -3

New England 37 @ Kansas City 31
1/20
NE 37 @ KC 31
1/20
LOSS
Sun 1/20

After waiting all week for an improved line, I'm a bit dismayed that this never fell below a field goal. With that not going to happen, I'll take the Chiefs at the key number. The Patriots are using being underdogs as motivation, and that's fine, but they also deserve to be the 'dogs here. All the advantages that New England had last week are gone: homefield, opponent flying cross country, limited offensive weapons to defend. Kansas City is at home, rested and features a bevy of playmakers. The Patriots will rattle Patrick Mahomes early and may even take a lead, but stopping him for four quarters at home is a tall task for a unit that gave up 40 to this team back in NE. It's time for the Pats to fall back to Earth based on their 2018-19 talent and performances.

5-3-1 IN LAST 9 KC ATS PICKS | +159

New Orleans -8 NO -8

Philadelphia 14 @ New Orleans 20
1/13
PHI 14 @ NO 20
1/13
LOSS
Sun 1/13

The last third of the season was tough for the Saints, but you can bet Drew Brees, Sean Payton and Co. will take advantage of two weeks of rest while the Eagles were toughing out a one-point win against the Bears on the road last week. Ted Ginn being back in the lineup provides another speedy threat, and New Orleans will simply be too much for Philadelphia to handle. Payton is on a 10-1 ATS streak off a bye, and the Saints are dominant at home. Expect a big effort from Brees and another double-digit win as the Eagles' lack of firepower finally catches up with them in the Superdome.

7-2 IN LAST 9 PHI ATS PICKS | +480

9-5 IN LAST 14 NO ATS PICKS | +341

LOAD MORE PICKS