Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the past three seasons, he's gone 170-143 on NFL game picks and 8-4 on season win total plays. Larry also damaged the books in NBA pointspread picks, going 126-95-7 for a $2,139 profit over the last five months of the 2016-17 season. For Larry Hartstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

18-8 IN LAST 26 NBA ATS PICKS | +961

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Boston -1BOS -1

Cleveland 94 @ Boston 107
5/16
CLE 94 @ BOS 107
5/16
WIN
Mon 5/14

There's already been more than a basket's worth of adjustment on the spread for Game 2 between the Celtics and Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals on Tuesday. In my view, this isn't nearly enough. The public will surely favor a "bounce-back" angle on the Cavaliers, who must win at least one game at TD Garden in order to prevail in the series. But this team has yet to show immediate resolve following adversity in the playoffs. I think Cleveland will be more competitive, but will head home facing a two-game deficit.

18-8 IN LAST 26 NBA ATS PICKS | +961

Houston -1.5HOU -1.5

Golden St. 119 @ Houston 106
5/15
GS 119 @ HOU 106
5/15
LOSS
Fri 5/11

I'm expecting the Warriors to finish off this series in fewer than seven games, but this spread in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals shows a lack of respect to the team that had the best regular-season record in the NBA and earned home-court advantage in the postseason. The Rockets aren't quite as strong of an overall team as the Warriors, and they can be prone to letdown spots. But this isn't one of them. Houston should give one of its most inspired performances in recent memory, and it's a gift that we're not laying at least four points.

18-8 IN LAST 26 NBA ATS PICKS | +961

Boston +1.5BOS +1.5

Cleveland 83 @ Boston 108
5/13
CLE 83 @ BOS 108
5/13
WIN
Fri 5/11

The Celtics are undefeated at home in the playoffs, but oddsmakers still appear hesitant to give them respect, as the spread in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals suggests. LeBron James and the Cavaliers have covered in five of their past six trips to Boston, but this club is 0-5 ATS when playing on three or more days of rest. They made a statement with their sweep of the Raptors, but look for them to still have a bit of a celebratory haze Sunday. Boston takes advantage and goes up 1-0 in the series.

18-8 IN LAST 26 NBA ATS PICKS | +961

Boston +1BOS +1

Philadelphia 112 @ Boston 114
5/10
PHI 112 @ BOS 114
5/10
WIN
Wed 5/9

I trust Brad Stevens to have his guys ready for Game 5 and specifically expect the Celtics to do a much better job on the defensive glass. In Game 4, Philly racked up 16 offensive rebounds. Boston has covered 11 of its past 12 home games and is 8-1 ATS following a double-digit loss. Play the home dog as the Celtics end the series.

18-8 IN LAST 26 NBA ATS PICKS | +961

Baltimore -156BAL -156

Kansas City 15 @ Baltimore 7
5/08
KC 15 @ BAL 7
5/08
LOSS
Tue 5/8

The Orioles are a different team at home, and Danny Duffy is ripe to get knocked around. K.C. has lost his last eight starts. Lay it with Baltimore.

34-25 IN LAST 59 MLB ML PICKS | +564

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