West Virginia thrives on its full-court press. Problem is, Villanova is almost immune to such pressure. It ranks among the nation?s leaders in fewest turnovers per possession, and its upperclassmen lineup is experienced enough to not wilt from West Virginia?s defensive heat. The talent gap between the teams is small enough to suggest a play on the underdog. The details of the matchup say otherwise. Villanova should master the press and either score in transition or force West Virginia to play half-court defense.
18-11-1 IN LAST 30 CBB ATS PICKS | +640
West Virginia has turned up its game a notch, winning and covering four of its last five. The Over has also cashed in four of the Mountaineers' previous five. Villanova comes in with the highest rating of the tournament and the amazing this is that the number still isn't high enough as it has gone 24-12 ATS, including covers in five of its last six. Four of those games went Over. Villanova gets the cover.
31-19 IN LAST 50 CBB ATS PICKS | +1065
Clemson has covered its last four games to give its rating a big boost. Kansas has won its last five games, going 4-1 against the spread, and has been doing it with its fast-pace offense that's averaging 81 points per game. The Tigers' offense has also been playing faster. Over is the top play.
On Friday, West Virginia meets Villanova i a matchup of former rivals in the Big East five years ago. While coach Bob Huggins has adapted his team to fit the Big 12, Jay Wright has kept the core philosophy intact for Villaova. That?s a strength for the Wildcats to attack a West Virginia team that lacks consistency.
9-2 IN LAST 11 CBB ATS PICKS | +693
Kansas State gets a significant boost in rating for this game with Dean Wade scheduled to return to the lineup. Wade is the best player on the team and my data makes the Wildcats just +1.5 underdogs on a neutral court. Take the points!
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